2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (2024)

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (1)

By Brandon Funston, Nando Di Fino and more

Sep 5, 2023

The Athletic has your Fantasy football rankings week 3: Sleepers, projections, starts, sits

Hello friends, and welcome to the 2023 fantasy football season!

In this draft kit, you’ll find everything you need to prep for Draft Day (or… “auction afternoon”?): rankings, projections, auction values, mock drafts, dynasty advice, player profiles from The Athletic’s NFL writers, and the jewel of our yearly preseason coverage — The Cheat Sheet, a fully customizable tool that allows you to input your league rules and settings and get a personalized set of rankings and point projections, all from the mind of the award-winning Jake Ciely, one of the most accurate prognosticators in all of fantasy sports.

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One important thing to remember — this draft kit is a living and breathing monster, and columns will be added regularly as we get closer to the start of the season. If you check it on a Tuesday, come back Friday to see what’s new; last year we had over 120 columns to help with your prep.

So dig in and enjoy! And be sure to drop any questions or concerns below in the comment section.

Thank you for reading! Let’s now hold hands and begin our journey to a title…

(And one quick note: Our NFL Proper colleague Mike Sando has done more for fantasy than anyone may realize — tutoring Laghezza on TruMedia, for instance, so he can spit out all these stats. His book, “The Football 100” would make a wonderful early-purchase holiday gift!)

Rankings, Projections, Cheat Sheets

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (2)

Jake Ciely’s Cheat Sheet: Create your own customized ranks and projections

Jake Ciely’s 2023 fantasy football rankings

Fantasy football rankings winners/losers: Jake’s 20 biggest preseason movers

Jake Ciely’s dynasty rankings

The Footbal Scientist’s QB draft guide: Detailed breakdown of the Top 25

Fantasy football QB tiers: Elite 8, the also rans and the streamers

Fantasy football RB tiers: From Christian McCaffrey to a trio of Dallas backups

Fantasy football WR tiers: From Justin Jefferson to Khalil Shakir

Ranking the fantasy kickers: It’s good to be lucky

Top 100 IDP rankings for 2023: From Roquan Smith to Jordan Hicks

Big Board: Top 100 fantasy picks for 2023, from Justin Jefferson to Anthony Richardson

Fantasy football 2023 rankings fight: 6 experts reveal the process behind their picks

Sleepers, Breakouts, Stock Up, Stock Down

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (3)

‘Our Guys’ for fantasy football 2023: Staff’s favorite picks inside the Top 100

17 endgame fantasy football draft picks who could be league winners

Draft breakdown: How 12 rosters were constructed in a high stakes league

Fantasy football 2023 All-Fade team: Jahmyr Gibbs, Gabe Davis and more

All-Value All Stars: Daniel Jones, Brandon Aiyuk and more

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Jake Ciely’s projections vs. ADP: The 19 biggest differences

ADP stock watch: Raheem Mostert, Gabe Davis and more late-preseason movers

Regression candidates: Four outliers from 2022 who are likely to fall back to earth

Football Scientist’s ‘Do Not Draft’ list: Christian Watson, Dameon Pierce, more

Volatile ADPs by round: Bijan Robinson, Derrick Henry, more polarizing picks

Late-round PPR running back targets: Jerick McKinnon, Tank Bigsby, more

Fantasy football fliers: Four deep sleepers to consider late in your drafts

Fantasy football IDP sleepers: Josh Sweat, Denzel Perryman and more

Fantasy football 2023 breakouts for all 32 NFL teams

Bounce-back candidates: Diontae Johnson, Jonathan Taylor and more

Life after pick 120: Best fantasy lineup of players outside the top 10 rounds

ADP trends: James Cook, Jahmyr Gibbs flying up fantasy draft boards

Best value pick in each draft round: Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin and more

Undervalued/overvalued ADPs: A.J. Brown, Christian Watson and more

Depth charts in doubt: 9 players who could emerge from down in the ranks

2nd-year WR primer: Finding the breakout before the breakout happens

Mid-round draft targets: Drake London, AJ Dillon and more

3 up, 3 down: James Cook, Jahan Dotson, more expected ADP movers

ADP fails: Cooper Kupp is too high, Amari Cooper is too low, and more

Stock watch (Aug. 6): Buying low on Jonathan Taylor and more

The Athletic staff sleepers: Deuce Vaughn, Elijah Moore and more

The Athletic staff sleepers: Jahan Dotson, Samaje Perine and more

Top surprise breakout candidates: Next Geno Smith, Brandon Aiyuk

Sleeper of the Week (Aug. 28): Zay Flowers, WR, BAL

Sleeper of the Week (Aug. 21): Brandin Cooks, WR, DAL

Sleeper of the Week (Aug. 12): Malik Davis, RB, DAL

Sleeper of the Week (July 31): DeVante Parker, WR, NE

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ADP report: Brock Purdy, Skyy Moore and more early movers

ADP comparison: Underdog best ball vs. NFFC redraft

Projecting helium: Early fantasy draft values who are set to rise

Jake Ciely’s TE breakouts: Chigo Okonkwu, Greg Dulcich and more

Jake Ciely’s WR breakouts: Jahan Doston, Treylon Burks and more

Jake Ciely’s RB breakouts: Rachaad White, Khalil Herbert and more

Jake Ciely’s QB breakouts: Jordan Love, Sam Howell and more

Fantasy football QB sleepers: Aaron Rodgers, Sam Darnold and more

Stepping it up: Three players who will take it to the next level in 2023

Discount DSTs: Early streamers, upside targets and more budget defense

Dynasty, Keepers, Rookies

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (4)

Jake Ciely’s dynasty rankings

Dynasty league start-up mock draft: 12-team, 1QB, half-PPR format

Dynasty league three-round rookie-only mock draft

Training camp dynasty story lines: Deep-dive rookies, dissed veterans, more

Dynasty league trade targets

Deep dive into Round 1 rookie WRs (and why you should draft more of them)

Dynasty league mailbag (Aug. 13)

Dynasty league mailbag (Aug. 2)

Dynasty league mailbag (July 26)

Dynasty league mailbag (July 6)

Dynasty league mailbag (June 26)

Dynasty league mailbag (May 3)

Dynasty league strategy: Why it’s time to take a RB-light draft approach

Don’t do it! The 7 mistakes dynasty league managers should strive to avoid

2023 NFL Draft: Jake Ciely’s analysis of every skill position pick

Reviewing the past 15 years of dynasty league rookie drafts, Part I

Reviewing the past 15 years of dynasty league rookie drafts, Part II

How to set up a dynasty league: Rules, format, roster size and more

Dane Brugler: College players to watch for your 2024 dynasty drafts

Player Profiles, Observations, Injuries

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (5)

Burning fantasy football questions: 1 key item to know for all 32 teams

Scouting notebook: Notable preseason Week 3 performances

Scouting notebook: Notable preseason Week 2 performances

Scouting notebook: Notable preseason Week 1 performances

Beat writer inside info: Need-to-know fantasy tidbit for each NFL team

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Beat writer inside info: Cam Akers, Laviska Shenault and more

Broncos beat: Javonte Williams is “rolling” in his recovery

NFL injury mailbag (Aug. 23)

NFL injury mailbag (Aug. 21)

NFL injury mailbag (Aug. 17)

NFL injury mailbag (Aug. 9)

NFL Injury mailbag (Aug. 1)

NFL injury mailbag (June 20)

Returning from injury: 2023 outlooks for Cooper Kupp, Breece Hall, more

How the Eagles’ backfield distribution could shake out in 2023

Can Trevor Lawrence, A.J. Brown and more 2022 stars repeat?

Can Falcons rookie Bijan Robinson live up to the hype?

Justin Fields likely to run less, pass more in 2023

Our model has Garrett Wilson as a Top 5 WR with Aaron Rodgers

Chris Olave will go as far as Derek Carr can take him

Is Miles Sanders back to being a three-down RB in Carolina?

Roundtables, Mailbags, Mocks and More

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (6)

NFL Survivor pools: Understanding Survivor rules, strategy, how to win

32 fantasy football roster moves to make before Week 1 arrives

John Laghezza’s perfect 8-round “auto” draft starts in Atlanta

Hacking the draft room: Finding value with Sleeper ADP

Hacking the draft room: Finding value with Yahoo ADP

Advanced run blocking metrics: Rating NFL O-lines and running backs

6 bold predictions from Jake Ciely: Dameon Pierce a Top 10 RB and more

Fantasy football roundtable: Vetting top 2 rounds, emerging WRs, more

Strategy roundtable: Auction bidding, when to take a QB and more

Drafting a top-tier QB with an early-round pick is not worth it

The No. 5 spot is where you want to draft in fantasy football 2023

Fantasy football roundtable: Early draft regrets, player predictions and more

QB roundtable: SuperFlex targets, Anthony Richardson love and more

WR roundtable: Veteran faces in new places, rookie ROI and more

Draft analysis: What we liked and didn’t like from the FLEX drafts

Mock draft using the most popular strategies: Hero RB, late-round QB, more

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Mock draft No. 5: 12-team, 1QB, half-PPR dynasty league start-up

Mock draft No. 4: 12-team, SuperFlex, PPR format on ESPN

Mock draft No. 3: 12-team, 1QB, PPR format on Sleeper

Mock draft No. 2: 12-team 1QB, half-PPR format on Sleeper

Mock draft No. 1: 12-team SuperFlex, half-PPR format on Yahoo

TD-only league strategy: Stacking, Vegas win total correlation and more

Positional priorities: Why you should draft 3 WRs in the first 4 rounds

Building the perfect fantasy football league: Ideal scoring, roster formats

How to ace your snake draft: Mining the RB middle class, QB double tap, more

How to ace your auction draft: Travis Kelce, jump bidding and more

The 25 stats you need to know before your fantasy football draft

Why the third-down RB specialist is a dying breed in today’s NFL

Need to know 2022 second-half player stats for all 32 NFL teams: NFC | AFC

2QB strategy guide for 2023: Draft advice, targets and more

Fantasy football roundtable: Sleeper QBs, what to do with Calvin Ridley, more

Fantasy football mailbag (Aug. 29)

Fantasy football mailbag (Aug. 15)

Fantasy football mailbag (Aug. 10)

Fantasy football mailbag (July 25)

Fantasy football mailbag (July 13)

Fantasy football mailbag (July 6)

Fantasy football mailbag (June 28)

Fantasy football mailbag (June 13)

Fantasy football mailbag (May 30)

One-man mock draft for the first round of 2023 fantasy football drafts

Fantasy football astrological outlooks for Aaron Rodgers, Tua Tagovailoa, DeAndre Hopkins

Fantasy football astrological outlooks for Calvin Ridley, Michael Thomas, Kyle Pitts

Where should I host my fantasy league: Pros and cons of Yahoo, CBS, ESPN and more

Best fantasy football team names 2023: “Sam Howell At The Moon,” “Purdy Smart” and more

Our blank printable roster page

2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (7)

(Getty Images: Michael Hickey; Michael Owens; Scott Taetsch; Leon Halip; Cooper Neill; Michael Reaves; Grant Halverson; Nick Cammett/Diamond Images)

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2023 fantasy football draft kit: Rankings, cheat sheet, player projections, mock drafts and more (2024)

FAQs

Who has the most accurate fantasy football projections? ›

Who is the most accurate draft expert? Jared Smola is the most accurate draft expert according to Fantasy Pros. Smola, a draft expert for Draft Sharks, won the Multi-Year Projection Accuracy Award. That award is given out to the most accurate expert for a 3-year rolling period.

Who is the most accurate NFL draft predictor? ›

Brendan Donahue, the #1 most accurate mock drafter over the past five NFL seasons according to The Huddle Report, gives you his 2024 NFL Mock Draft — making predictions for every team and every pick in the first round.

What position should you draft first in fantasy football? ›

But elite RBs and WRs typically get drafted first because you need more starters at those positions and their scoring drops off more sharply. That's why the best way to draft is generally to prioritize RBs and WRs while waiting on QBs and TEs.

Who is the best fantasy football pick 2023? ›

Rank, Player, Eligible Position, Team, Position Rank
  • Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings, WR1.
  • Ja'Marr Chase, WR, Bengals, WR2.
  • Christian McCaffrey, RB, 49ers, RB1.
  • Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers, RB2.
  • Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins, WR3.
  • Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants, RB3.
  • Bijan Robinson, RB, Falcons, RB4.
  • Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams, WR4.
Aug 31, 2023

Which site has the best fantasy football projections? ›

4for4: Home of the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Rankings.

What is the best predictor for fantasy football? ›

Most Accurate Draft Experts from 2020 to 2022
RankExpert NameRB
1Jared Smola - Draft Sharks5
2Rob Waziak - Fantasy Life1
3Nick Zylak - Fantasy Football Advice27
4Ryan Noonan - 4for457
47 more rows

Who will be best QB in draft? ›

The 2024 NFL Draft features a handful of quarterbacks with starting traits and the potential to be a franchise signal-caller. The class is led by Caleb Williams and his out-of-structure magic, Jayden Daniels' with his incredible dual-threat ability and Drake Maye and his gunslinger arm talent.

Who is the number one draft pick? ›

Southern California QB Caleb Williams became the latest No. 1 overall pick when the Chicago Bears selected him with the top pick in the 2024 NFL draft.

Who is predicted to be the number one draft pick? ›

Caleb Williams

How many RB and WR should I draft? ›

Ideally, you'd have three star RBs, 8-9 receivers with an excellent shot at 90-plus targets and 2-3 QB, TE and defenses (three where the players are worse, two where they're better.)

Should you draft a QB first in fantasy football? ›

There are myriad ways to win a fantasy football league, and while it might start with the draft, it rarely ends there. Take a QB early. You might love the pick when you make it, but then, an hour later, you might stress about depth at running back and flex.

How to draft with a #1 pick? ›

Whenever I have the No. 1 overall pick, I like to start my roster with three receivers in a row. I really like this build since the top-tier wide receivers disappear quickly in most competitive leagues, and the running back depth in the middle rounds is robust.

Who to pick as fantasy QB? ›

Fantasy Football Quarterback (QB) Rankings (2024)
RankNamePos
1.Josh AllenQB
2.Jalen HurtsQB
3.Lamar JacksonQB
4.Patrick MahomesQB
90 more rows

Who is the best 1 pick in fantasy football? ›

Draft Slot 1

Round 1 (Pick 1 overall): It's Justin Jefferson for me, period. He was the No. 1 wide receiver in fantasy points last season and is sixth in scoring among all players covering his three-year span in the league thus far.

Who was the best fantasy player ever? ›

The 20 best Fantasy Football players of all time ahead of Championship weekend from Christian McCAffrey to Lamar Jackson
  • Cooper Kupp (2021) - 439.5 points. ...
  • Priest Holmes (2003) - 445 points. ...
  • Marshall Faulk (2000) - 459.9 points. ...
  • Christian McCAffrey (2019) 471.2 points. ...
  • LaDainian Tomlinson (2006) - 481.1 points.
Dec 28, 2023

How accurate are fantasy football team projections? ›

Our projections are only as accurate as (the aggregate of) the underlying sources of projections. Nevertheless, the “wisdom of the crowd” is the most accurate of all fantasy football projections, and accounts for about one-half to two-thirds of the variance in players' performance (see here).

Who gives the best free fantasy football advice? ›

Draft Sharks earned our ranking as the best fantasy football site for advice.

What is the best fantasy football data site? ›

The Huddle provides the most complete resource of fantasy football statistics available anywhere.

Are fantasy final standing projections accurate? ›

These projections fuel our fantasy football rankings – which, by the way, have been the most accurate in the industry for three years running.

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